I've Just Always Been A Bit Of

The Key To Making A Good Forecast Is Not In Limiting Yourself To Quantitative Information.

We're Not That Much Smarter Than We Used To Be, Even Though We Have Much More Information - And That Means The Real Skill Now Is Learning How To Pick Out The Useful Information From All This Noise.

A Lot Of The Time Nothing Happens In A Day.

The Problem Is That When Polls Are Wrong, They Tend To Be Wrong In The Same Direction. If They Miss In New Hampshire, For Instance, They All Miss On The Same Mistake.

First Of All, I Think It's Odd That People Who Cover Politics Wouldn't Have Any Political Views.