I Guess I Don't Like The People

If I Had A Spreadsheet On My Computer, It Looked Like I Was Busy.

Data-driven Predictions Can Succeed-and They Can Fail. It Is When We Deny Our Role In The Process That The Odds Of Failure Rise. Before We Demand More Of Our Data, We Need To Demand More Of Ourselves.

We Want To Get 80%-85% Of Predictions Right, Not 100%. Or Else We Calibrated Our Estimates In The Wrong Way.

When You Get Into Statistical Analysis, You Don't Really Expect To Achieve Fame. Or To Become An Internet Meme. Or Be Parodied By 'the Onion' - Or Be The Subject Of A Cartoon In 'the New Yorker.' I Guess I'm Kind Of An Outlier There.

Almost Everyone's Instinct Is To Be Overconfident And Read Way Too Much Into A Hot Or Cold Streak.